Genetically Modified Rice in China: Effects on Farmers in China and California

China has not commercialized genetically modified (GM) rice, but they are close and many observers believe the time is near when national leaders will “pull the trigger.” After examining the state of biotechnology research on rice in the world, in general, we examine the implications for producers in China, the world’s largest rice economy. To do so, we draw on our work that has appeared in Science and other media. While we come to the conclusion that China’s producers will benefit, the consequences of the decision to commercialize GM rice, however, likely will be felt by millions, perhaps even billions, of people outside of China. Indeed, China’s decision may start a domino effect that could cascade around the globe. It also could have direct consequences for California rice growers—both positive and negative. In the second part of the article, we will speculate on some of the far-reaching consequences of the commercialization of GM rice, especially considering how it might affect California’s rice industry.